Birth Rate by Country Forecast December 2024

The birth rate is a crucial demographic indicator, affecting various societal, economic, and political dynamics. This forecast for 2024 provides a detailed view of countries with the highest and lowest birth rates, along with the potential implications of these figures on global trends.

Which Countries Have the Highest Birth Rates in 2024?

The nations with the highest birth rates per 1,000 population in 2024 are primarily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa, with Niger topping the list. Countries in these regions tend to have young populations, a contributing factor to their higher birth rates.

Niger - 46.6
Angola - 41.1
Benin - 40.3
Mali - 40
Uganda - 39.6

Which Countries Have the Lowest Birth Rates in 2024?

On the other hand, countries with the lowest birth rates per 1,000 population are largely located in Europe and East Asia. These nations often face aging populations and declining fertility rates, which have significant implications for labor markets, healthcare systems, and social structures.

Ukraine - 6
Monaco - 6.5
Japan - 6.9
Andorra - 6.9
South Korea - 7

What Are the Key Factors Driving High Birth Rates?

The high birth rates observed in countries like Niger and Angola can often be attributed to several key factors, including lower levels of contraceptive use, cultural preferences for larger families, and higher mortality rates that encourage larger families for economic stability. In many cases, children contribute to family income, especially in rural or agricultural economies.

Why Do Some Countries Have Declining Birth Rates?

Countries such as Japan, South Korea, and several European nations experience declining birth rates due to a variety of factors. These include changing societal norms, delayed marriages, and financial burdens associated with raising children. Economic instability, high living costs, and the increasing role of women in the workforce also contribute to delayed childbearing or the decision to have fewer children.

Top 5 Countries with the Highest Birth Rates

Here are the countries with the top five highest birth rates in 2024:

Niger
Angola
Benin
Mali
Uganda

Bottom 5 Countries with the Lowest Birth Rates

Countries with the lowest birth rates, indicating potential demographic challenges, include:

Ukraine
Monaco
Japan
Andorra
South Korea

Implications of High Birth Rates for Global Demographics

High birth rates, particularly in regions like sub-Saharan Africa, are expected to contribute to rapid population growth in these regions. While this can fuel economic development and growth, it also presents challenges such as the need for expanded education, healthcare, and infrastructure.

Implications of Low Birth Rates for Economic and Social Structures

On the other hand, low birth rates in many developed countries raise concerns about aging populations and labor shortages. These demographic shifts can lead to increased government spending on pensions and healthcare, while also posing challenges for maintaining a sustainable workforce. The aging of the population in countries like Japan, Italy, and Germany has already prompted policy changes aimed at increasing the birth rate, such as paid parental leave and financial incentives for families.

Birth Rate by Country Forecast December 2024 (Births / 1,000 Population, December 2024)

Rank	Country	Births / 1,000 Population
1	Niger	46.6
2	Angola	41.1
3	Benin	40.3
4	Mali	40
5	Uganda	39.6
6	DR Congo	39.2
7	Chad	39.2
8	Somalia	37.4
9	Mozambique	36.5
10	South Sudan	36.4
11	Guinea-Bissau	36
12	Guinea	35.3
13	Cameroon	34.7
14	Burundi	34.6
15	Afghanistan	34.2
16	Zambia	34.1
17	Nigeria	33.8
18	Sudan	33.1
19	Tanzania	32.5
20	Liberia	32.4
21	Central African Republic	31.9
22	Burkina Faso	31.9
23	Togo	30.9
24	Sierra Leone	30.8
25	Senegal	30.2
26	Timor-Leste	29.7
27	Ethiopia	29.6
28	Equatorial Guinea	29
29	Zimbabwe	28.8
30	Republic of the Congo	28.7
31	Papua New Guinea	28.1
33	Ghana	27.6
34	Madagascar	27.6
35	Ivory Coast	27.5
36	Gambia	27.3
37	Mauritania	27.2
39	Sao Tome and Principe	26.7
40	Malawi	26.6
41	Eritrea	26.3
42	Tajikistan	25.8
43	Gabon	25.7
44	Kenya	25.6
45	Pakistan	25.5
46	Rwanda	25
47	Namibia	24.3
48	Iraq	23.7
49	Yemen	23.4
50	Lesotho	22.9
51	Eswatini	22.3
52	Jordan	22.2
53	Philippines	22.1
54	Solomon Islands	22
55	Tuvalu	22
56	Djibouti	21.8
57	Syria	21.7
58	Comoros	21.6
59	Guatemala	21.4
60	Haiti	21.2
61	Marshall Islands	21.2
62	Oman	21.1
63	Vanuatu	20.8
64	Uzbekistan	20.5
65	Libya	20.3
66	Nauru	20.2
67	Algeria	20.2
68	Honduras	19.9
69	Laos	19.8
70	Kiribati	19.7
71	Tonga	19.7
72	Botswana	19.6
73	Egypt	19.5
74	Israel	19.1
75	Samoa	18.8
76	Kyrgyzstan	18.7
77	Cambodia	18.2
78	Guam	18.1
79	Cape Verde	17.9
80	Micronesia	17.8
81	Belize	17.7
82	South Africa	17.7
83	Ecuador	17.7
84	Bolivia	17.6
85	Kuwait	17.5
86	Panama	17.4
87	Dominican Republic	17.3
88	Bangladesh	17.3
89	Kazakhstan	17.2
90	El Salvador	17.1
91	Nepal	17
92	Morocco	16.8
93	Turkmenistan	16.8
94	Venezuela	16.7
95	Guyana	16.7
96	Peru	16.7
97	Nicaragua	16.4
98	India	16.2
99	Fiji	15.9
100	Paraguay	15.9
101	Brunei	15.8
102	American Samoa	15.7
103	Myanmar	15.7
104	Northern Mariana Islands	15.7
105	Jamaica	15.6
106	Bhutan	15.3
107	Argentina	15.2
108	Maldives	15.1
109	Mongolia	14.9
110	Suriname	14.9
111	Vietnam	14.9
112	Colombia	14.9
113	Antigua and Barbuda	14.9
114	Faroe Islands	14.9
115	Indonesia	14.8
116	Sri Lanka	14.5
117	Kosovo	14.4
118	Mexico	14.3
119	Iran	14.3
120	Malaysia	14.2
121	Sint Maarten	13.9
122	Turkey	13.8
123	New Caledonia	13.8
124	Gibraltar	13.7
125	Saudi Arabia	13.6
126	Greenland	13.5
127	Tunisia	13.5
128	Grenada	13.3
129	Dominica	13.3
130	North Korea	13.2
131	Brazil	13.2
132	Bahamas	13.1
133	Turks and Caicos Islands	13
134	French Polynesia	13
135	Curaçao	12.9
136	Uruguay	12.6
137	New Zealand	12.6
138	Iceland	12.6
139	Lebanon	12.6
140	Chile	12.4
141	Albania	12.3
142	Australia	12.2
143	Jersey	12.2
144	Sint Maarten	12.2
145	United States	12.2
146	Bahrain	12.2
147	Cook Islands	12.1
148	Georgia	12
149	Montserrat	11.9
150	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	11.9
152	Seychelles	11.8
153	Saint Kitts and Nevis	11.8
154	Anguilla	11.8
155	Luxembourg	11.6
156	Aruba	11.6
157	Palau	11.6
158	Cayman Islands	11.5
159	Saint Lucia	11.4
160	Denmark	11.3
161	Azerbaijan	11.2
162	United States Virgin Islands	11.1
163	Ireland	11.1
164	France	10.9
165	Montenegro	10.9
167	Bermuda	10.9
168	British Virgin Islands	10.9
169	Belgium	10.8
170	United Kingdom	10.8
171	Costa Rica	10.8
172	Barbados	10.7
173	Sweden	10.7
174	United Arab Emirates	10.7
175	Netherlands	10.6
176	Trinidad and Tobago	10.5
177	Armenia	10.5
178	Isle of Man	10.4
179	Norway	10.4
180	Liechtenstein	10.3
181	North Macedonia	10.2
182	Cyprus	10.2
183	China	10.2
184	Finland	10.2
185	Switzerland	10.1
186	Canada	10
187	Slovakia	10
188	Cuba	9.9
189	Thailand	9.9
190	Czech Republic	9.8
191	Mauritius	9.8
192	Guernsey	9.7
193	Malta	9.4
194	Austria	9.3
197	Qatar	9.2
198	Hungary	9.1
199	San Marino	9
200	Germany	8.9
201	Lithuania	8.9
202	Serbia	8.8
203	Singapore	8.8
204	Macau	8.6
205	Croatia	8.5
206	Romania	8.5
207	Poland	8.4
208	Moldova	8.4
209	Russia	8.4
210	Belarus	8.3
211	Latvia	8.3
212	Estonia	8.2
213	Bosnia and Herzegovina	8.2
214	Portugal	8
215	Slovenia	8
216	Bulgaria	7.9
217	Puerto Rico	7.8
218	Hong Kong	7.6
219	Greece	7.4
220	Taiwan	7.3
221	Spain	7.1
222	Italy	7.1
223	South Korea	7
224	Andorra	6.9
225	Japan	6.9
226	Monaco	6.5
228	Ukraine	6